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“Randomized Controlled Trials 101: The Gold Standard for Impact Evaluation”





RCTs 101: The Gold Standard for Impact Evaluation – AJ Impact Evaluation Consulting


RCTs 101: The Gold Standard for Impact Evaluation

Why randomization is the most powerful tool for measuring impact

By Aubrey Jolex | February 1, 2025 | 12 min read

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are the gold
standard for measuring program impact—but what makes them so powerful? And how do you actually
design and implement one correctly?

Whether you’re evaluating a health intervention, education program, or poverty reduction strategy,
understanding RCTs is essential for rigorous impact evaluation.

What is an RCT?

An RCT is an experimental design where participants are randomly assigned to either a treatment group
(receives the program) or a control group (does not receive the program).

The Key Principle: Randomization

Random assignment ensures that, on average, treatment and control groups are identical except for the
program itself. This means any difference in outcomes can be attributed to the program—not to
pre-existing differences between groups.

Why Randomization Matters

Without randomization, you might compare program participants (who
self-selected or were chosen) to non-participants. But these groups likely differ in motivation,
resources, or other characteristics—making it impossible to isolate the program’s true impact.

The Anatomy of an RCT

1. Baseline Survey

Collect data on participants before program starts

2. Randomization

Randomly assign participants to treatment or control

3. Program Implementation

Deliver the intervention to treatment group only

4. Endline Survey

Measure outcomes for both groups after program

5. Analysis

Compare treatment vs control group outcomes

6. Reporting

Document findings and program impact

Types of Randomization

Individual Randomization

Assign individual people to treatment or control. Best when: intervention is individual-level
(e.g., scholarship, training)

Cluster Randomization

Assign groups (schools, villages, clinics) to treatment or control. Best when: intervention
operates at group level or spillovers are concern

Implementing Randomization with Integrity

Common Threats to Validity

Warning: Compromised Randomization

  • Staff changing assignments based on “need”
  • Participants swapping between groups
  • Selective attrition from one group

Best Practices for Clean Randomization

Centralize Assignment

Use computer-based randomization, not manual selection

Blind When Possible

Keep staff unaware of assignment until after baseline

Lock Assignments

Do not allow changes after randomization

Document Everything

Record randomization procedure and any deviations

Power Analysis: Getting Sample Size Right

A critical step in RCT design is determining how many participants you need. Too few, and you won’t
be able to detect program effects. Too many wastes resources.

Design Your RCT Like a Pro

Use our RCT Field Flow Toolkit to document your research design, intervention
logic, and prepare for randomization.

Centralized study planning hub
Document intervention logic and theory of change
Prepare for power calculations and randomization

Start
Designing →

Common RCT Design Challenges

Ethical Concerns

Solution: Offer control group the program after study, use lottery for oversubscribed
programs

Spillovers

Solution: Use cluster randomization, ensure sufficient distance between treatment/control

Attrition

Solution: Track participants carefully, over-sample in baseline, analyze differential
attrition

Conclusion

RCTs provide the most credible evidence of program impact when done correctly. Key principles:

RCT Success Checklist

  • Conduct proper power analysis
  • Implement randomization with integrity
  • Collect baseline data before randomization
  • Monitor implementation fidelity
  • Minimize and track attrition
  • Pre-register your analysis plan

Ready to Design Your RCT?

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More Resources

Explore our blog for more guides on RCT design and impact evaluation.

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About the Author

Aubrey Jolex has designed and implemented dozens of RCTs across Asia and Africa with 7+ years of
experience at IFPRI. Learn from real-world experience to implement rigorous evaluations.